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I believe that indices for emerging stock markets are going to outperform those of western stock markets for the foreseeable future driven by the much stronger growth of their underlying economies.
Coppock is designed to tell institutional investors when a bear market is over and a new bull run is beginning.
How about this for a model of stock market behaviour; after a long boom share prices start to fall as the news flow deteriorates.
My usual preference in all stock market conditions is growth shares. However, current circumstances are unusual.
There are other reasons than Coppock for supposing that the bear market that began in 2007 may have ended. One is the idea of a climactic sell-off.
If stock markets can hold around current levels through to the end of April, which may prove a big ‘if’, then we are going to see a string of buy signals.
I am beginning to suspect that the risks of being short in this market are too great to justify the potential rewards.
One day, one of the rallies that intersperse down legs in a bear market is going to be not just a rally but also the beginning of the next bull market.
Property companies have spent the last 16 years using cheap borrowings to buy more assets. What they did not realise is that they were simlpy bidding up prices against themselves.
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